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2016 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 South Carolina Democratic presidential primary took place on February 27 in the U.S. state of South Carolina, marking the Democratic Party's fourth nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

Clinton won the South Carolina Democratic primary by a landslide margin of more than 47%, receiving a larger percentage of the African American vote than Obama, the first black President, did in 2008.[1]

With the Republican Party having already held its South Carolina primary a week earlier on February 20, the Democratic primary in South Carolina was the only presidential primary on that day.

Debates and forums

November 2015 forum in Rock Hill

Rachel Maddow was selected to moderate the First in the South Candidates Forum with Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley, which was held at Winthrop University in Rock Hill, South Carolina, on November 6, co-sponsored by the Democratic Parties of 13 southern states.[2] The forum was not in debate format; instead, each candidate was interviewed individually and sequentially.[3] Lincoln Chafee and Jim Webb were also invited, but their campaigns never responded to the invitations,[4] and both have since withdrawn from the race. A Public Policy Poll of South Carolina Democratic voters conducted from November 7–8, after the forum, discovered that 67% of viewers thought Clinton won the forum, 16% thought Sanders won, and 6% thought O'Malley won, with 11% unsure.[5]

January 2016 debate in Charleston, South Carolina

On January 17, 2016, the Democratic Party held a fourth debate at the Gaillard Center in Charleston, South Carolina. Hosted by Lester Holt and Andrea Mitchell, the debate aired on NBC News and was streamed on YouTube. It was also sponsored by the Congressional Black Caucus. It was notable as being the final debate before the start of precinct caucuses and primary voting. Participants were Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley. It was the final debate appearance of O'Malley, who suspended his campaign on February 1.

Both before and after the debate, commentators said the debate was focused on Sanders and his voting record on gun control and slights against President Obama, among other issues. During the debate, O'Malley interrupted to take 30 seconds to talk about "homeland security and preparedness".[6] Also during the debate, Clinton and Sanders had some back-and-forth exchanges to define themselves on Wall Street, foreign policy, and gun control.[6]

Opinion polling

Delegate count: 53 Pledged, 6 Unpledged

Winner
Hillary Clinton
Primary date
27 February 2016
Polls in 2015
Polls in 2014


Results

Results by county

Clinton won every county.[31]

Delegates: The South Carolina Democratic Party - State Election Results

Analysis

As South Carolina's majority-black Democratic electorate had dealt a severe death-blow to Clinton's 2008 presidential effort against Barack Obama, it gave her campaign new life in 2016. Clinton won the primary in a 47-point routing thanks to ardent support from African American voters. According to exit polls, Clinton won the black vote 86-14, which comprised 61% of the Democratic electorate in South Carolina; she won among black women 89-11 who comprised 37% of the electorate. Clinton's near-unanimous support from black voters was fueled by their interest in a continuation of President Obama's policies,[32] and by black women who wanted to see a woman elected.[33]

Clinton won every county statewide. She won in upcountry 66-34, Piedmont 74-25, Central South Carolina, including the region which is majority African American 78-22, Pee dee/Waccamaw 83-17, and lowcountry 70-30.[34] She also swept the major cities of Charleston, Columbia, Greenville, and Rock Hill.

References

  1. ^ "Black Voters Boost Clinton in South Carolina". ABC News. February 28, 2016. Retrieved May 20, 2016.
  2. ^ "MSNBC's Rachel Maddow to moderate 2016 Democratic forum at Winthrop". The State. October 7, 2015.
  3. ^ "MSNBC's Rachel Maddow will bring Southern focus to forum". Charlotte Observer. November 4, 2015.
  4. ^ "S.C. Democrats to host three presidential candidates in Rock Hill". Greenvilleonline.com. October 7, 2015. Retrieved January 17, 2016.
  5. ^ "Three Republican candidates speak at anti-gay pastor's rally". MSNBC. Retrieved November 23, 2015.
  6. ^ a b Fix, Team (January 17, 2016). "The 4th Democratic debate transcript, annotated: Who said what and what it meant". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved January 18, 2016.
  7. ^ "Clemson University Palmetto Poll Democratic primary summary". Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  8. ^ "EMERSON POLL: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY A WIDE MARGIN IN SOUTH CAROLINA, WITH STRONG SUPPORT FROM AFRICAN AMERICANS" (PDF). Retrieved February 26, 2016.
  9. ^ "Donald Trump's Lead Slashed in South Carolina: Poll". Retrieved February 19, 2016.
  10. ^ "Clinton Strong in South Carolina But Warning Signs Ahead, Bloomberg Poll Shows". Retrieved February 18, 2016.
  11. ^ "South Carolina primary: ARG Poll". Retrieved February 17, 2016.
  12. ^ http://www.thestate.com/news/politics-government/politics-columns-blogs/the-buzz/article60547281.html
  13. ^ "South Carolina primary: CNN/ORC poll full results". Retrieved February 16, 2016.
  14. ^ http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/arg-23748
  15. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker South Carolina" (PDF). CBS News. February 14, 2016. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
  16. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll January 2016 South Carolina Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  17. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker South Carolina" (PDF). CBS News. January 24, 2016. Retrieved January 24, 2016.
  18. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker South Carolina" (PDF).
  19. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Iowa" (PDF).
  20. ^ "Trump Still Leads But Declining in SC; Clinton Dominant" (PDF). Public Policy Polling. November 10, 2015. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
  21. ^ "South Carolina: Clinton with Big Lead" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. November 10, 2015. Retrieved January 22, 2015.
  22. ^ "Winthrop University: Winthrop Poll – Current Findings". winthrop.edu.
  23. ^ "PDF file" (PDF). Retrieved October 12, 2015.
  24. ^ "SC Poll". Retrieved November 5, 2015.
  25. ^ "CNN SC poll". Retrieved November 5, 2015.
  26. ^ "The Buzz". Retrieved October 1, 2015.
  27. ^ Will Jordan. "Sanders up big in New Hampshire and Iowa; Carson trails Trump". YouGov.
  28. ^ "The Buzz". Retrieved September 9, 2015.
  29. ^ "SC polling" (PDF). Retrieved August 4, 2015.
  30. ^ "Morning Consult SC" (PDF). morningconsult.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  31. ^ "South Carolina Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates - POLITICO".
  32. ^ Chozick, Amy; Healy, Patrick (February 27, 2016). "Hillary Clinton Wins South Carolina Primary". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 18, 2016.
  33. ^ Hannah-jones, Nikole (February 26, 2016). "For Black Women in South Carolina, It's Clinton's Turn". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 18, 2016.
  34. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved October 18, 2016.