Trump easily carried Oklahoma on Election Day by a margin of 33.08%, down from 36.39 points in 2016. Oklahoma was one of two states where Trump won every county (though Oklahoma County was won by a plurality of votes, compared to the absolute majorities achieved across the state), the other being West Virginia. This also signaled the fifth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state, including those counties encompassed by Native American reservations. In this election, Trump also became the first presidential candidate ever to win more than a million votes in Oklahoma.[4] Biden, however, came within 3,326 votes of winning Oklahoma's most populous county Oklahoma County, and won more than 40% of the vote in Oklahoma's second-most populous county Tulsa. No Democratic presidential candidate has won Oklahoma County since Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide, or Tulsa County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in his 1936 landslide. This is the first election since 2000 in which not every county voted in the majority for the Republican, as Oklahoma County was won by Republicans with a 49.21% plurality. However, these gains in urban Oklahoma were partly offset by continued falloff in southeast Oklahoma, where Biden even underperformed Hillary Clinton's performance four years earlier in most counties.
Primary elections
The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.
Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University
Independent candidates
Three unaffiliated candidates filed to be on the Oklahoma presidential ballot, all by paying a $35,000 fee. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins has filed a lawsuit challenging the amount of the filing fee.[11]
Jade Simmons, concert artist, speaker, and author[12]
Brock Pierce, cryptocurrency entrepreneur and former child actor[13]
Oklahoma determines ballot order by lot, with unaffiliated candidates listed below candidates of recognized parties. The drawing was held on July 16, with the resulting order for political parties being Republican, Libertarian, Democrat.[15] The unaffiliated candidates for president will be listed in this order: Jade Simmons, Kanye West, Brock Pierce.[16]
General election
Predictions
Polling
Graphical summary
Graph of opinion polls conducted. Trend lines represent local regressions.
Aggregate polls
Polls
Results
By county
Swing by county
Legend
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
Trend relative to the state by county
Legend
Democratic — +7.5-10%
Democratic — +5-7.5%
Democratic — +2.5-5%
Democratic — +0-2.5%
Republican — +0-2.5%
Republican — +2.5-5%
Republican — +5-7.5%
Republican — +7.5-10%
Republican — +10-12.5%
Republican — +12.5-15%
By congressional district
Trump won all of Oklahoma's congressional districts.
Electors
Republican Party electors
Ronda Vuillemont-Smith, Lonnie Lu Anderson, Chris Martin, Steve Fair, Linda Huggard, A. J. Ferate, Carolyn McLarty[32]
Libertarian Party electors
Erin Adams, Danny Chabino, Drew Cook, Kevin Hobbie, Rex Lawhorn, Jay Norton, Victoria Whitfield[33]
April Anderson, Craig Alan Weygandt, Will Flanagan, Tom Krup, Megan Krup, Gretchen Schrupp, David Schrupp[14]
Electors for Brock Pierce
Robert Murphy, Susan Darlene Murphy, Richard Prawdzienski, Jessy Artman, David Selinger, Shane Wayne Howell, Angela McCaslin[13]
Analysis
Oklahoma, a majority-White, mainly-rural state sandwiched between the South and the Midwest, has long been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, although Democrats did well in state-level elections until the 2000s. 4 of 5 congressional seats are considered non-competitive for Democrats, and it hasn't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it in 1964, against the backdrop of his nationwide landslide victory. Oklahoma was last competitive at the presidential level in 1996.
Despite Trump's win in the state, Biden came less than 1 percentage point of flipping the rapidly-urbanizing Oklahoma County, which hosts the state capital, while he also reduced Trump's margin of victory in Tulsa County. Meanwhile, Trump carried the state's only Hispanic-majority county of Texas, located in the Oklahoma panhandle. He also held onto the only two plurality-Native American counties in the state: Adair and Cherokee, both encompassed by the Cherokee Reservation, and the latter hosting the tribal capital in Tahlequah. Trump also exhibited considerable strength in the historically Democratic region known as "Little Dixie," carrying Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district by 54%. The counties encompassed by the Cherokee, Choctaw, Chickasaw, Muscogee, Seminole, Osage, and Pawnee reservations were all captured by Trump by large margins.
^"2020 November General Election Turnout Rates". United States Elections Project. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
^Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Archived from the original on August 2, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
^Casteel, Chris (November 15, 2020). "Trump's Oklahoma County squeaker, Horn's Grady County connection and 3 other things about the election". The Oklahoman. Retrieved December 9, 2020.
^"Candidate Information". Oklahoma State Election Board.
^"Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
^"Oklahoma Election Results 2020". PBS NewsHour. Retrieved March 26, 2020.
^Taylor, Kate (February 9, 2019). "Elizabeth Warren Formally Announces 2020 Presidential Bid in Lawrence, Mass". The New York Times. Retrieved February 10, 2019.
^"Presidential Preferential Primary and Special Elections – March 3, 2020". OK Election Results. Oklahoma State Election Board. Retrieved March 25, 2020.
^"How Many Delegates Do The 2020 Democratic Presidential Candidates Have?". NPR.org. National Public Radio. Retrieved March 3, 2020.
^"Howie Hawkins Files Federal Lawsuit Against Amount of Oklahoma Presidential Filing Fee | Ballot Access News". July 16, 2020. Retrieved May 7, 2021.
^ a b"2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Jade Simmons" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 18, 2020.
^ a b"2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Brock Pierce" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 13, 2020.
^ a b"2020 Oklahoma Statement of Candidacy - Kanye West" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. July 15, 2020. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 17, 2020.
^"Oklahoma State Election Board".
^"General Election Ballot Order Set | The McCarville Report". Retrieved May 7, 2021.
^"2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^"POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
^"2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
^"Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
^2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions Archived April 23, 2020, at the Wayback Machine, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
^David Chalian; Terence Burlij (June 11, 2020). "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
^"Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
^"2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
^"2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
^"ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
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