stringtranslate.com

2016 Manitoba general election

The 2016 Manitoba general election was held on April 19, 2016, to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba, Canada.[1] The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Greg Selinger, were defeated by the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba led by Brian Pallister, ending nearly 17 years of NDP government. The Progressive Conservatives won 40 seats, one of the largest majority governments in Manitoba history, the other one was in 1915 when Liberals also won 40 seats.[2]

The election also removed one of the two New Democratic governments in the country, the other being formed by the Alberta New Democratic Party.

Date

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, the general election is to be held on the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year, following the previous election.[3] As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be October 6, 2015. However, the act also provides that if, as of January 1 of the election year, the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the third Tuesday of the following April.[4] Under the federal fixed-term act, on January 1, 2015, the next federal election was tentatively scheduled for October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately three weeks. Thus the next Manitoba election was scheduled for April 19, 2016. The Lieutenant Governor retains the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early.[5] The legislature was dissolved and writs for the election were dropped on March 16, 2016.[6]

Campaign

The election was relatively unique within Canadian politics, in that opinion polling indicated that most voters were basing their decision on the local candidate in their riding or the party platform, not the performance of the leader. In most Canadian elections, such as the 2016 Saskatchewan election, the behaviour of the party leader was a stronger motivator for constituents when voting;[7] in the context of the Manitoba election, however, polling found that none of the three main party leaders was particularly well-liked or trusted by the electorate.[8] Although Pallister fared best with 33 per cent support in public opinion polling on the question of preferred premier, even he finished only one point ahead of "none of the above" at 32 per cent.[8]

The campaigns of all three parties were based on themes of change, with even Selinger suggesting the incumbent NDP government would be able to respond to constituent concerns and change problematic policies in the leaders' debate.[7] Opinion polling during the campaign suggested a lack of enthusiasm for all party leaders, and a general desire for change.[9]

Election summary

The Tories went into the election as heavy favourites, having led opinion polls for almost four years. They scored a near-sweep of rural southern and central Manitoba, and also made significant inroads in Winnipeg, taking every seat in the southern and western portions of the capital. In many cases, previously safe NDP seats either fell to the Tories or saw the NDP margins cut by more than half.

Summary results

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Opinion polls

Candidates by riding

Northern Manitoba

Westman/Parkland

Central Manitoba

Eastman

Northwest Winnipeg

Northeast Winnipeg

West Winnipeg

Central Winnipeg

South Winnipeg

Notes

  1. ^ Erin Selby (Southdale) and Peter Bjornson (Gimli) resigned their seats in 2015.[10] No by-elections were called and their seats remained vacant.

References

  1. ^ Voting in a Manitoba Provincial Election Archived February 22, 2012, at the Wayback Machine. Retrieved June 24, 2012.
  2. ^ "Brian Pallister's PCs win majority government in Manitoba". CBC News. April 19, 2016.
  3. ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(2).
  4. ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(3).
  5. ^ Elections Act, sec. 49.1(1).
  6. ^ "'Choices are clear:' Selinger makes April 19 Manitoba election official". CTV News. March 16, 2016. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  7. ^ a b "Manitoba election results 2016". Global News. April 19, 2016. Retrieved April 19, 2016.
  8. ^ a b "Voters don't trust leaders, but Pallister fares better than rivals: poll". Winnipeg Free Press, April 9, 2016.
  9. ^ "Manitobans go to the polls in provincial election". CBC News. April 19, 2016. Retrieved April 19, 2016.
  10. ^ Owen, Bruce (April 29, 2015). "Selinger's shuffle making the best of a bad situation". Winnipeg Free Press. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  11. ^ "Demoted Manitoba politician, Jim Rondeau, to leave politics". Global News. April 13, 2015.
  12. ^ "Former Manitoba cabinet minister not running". Global News. May 13, 2015.
  13. ^ CBC News Manitoba, 24-11-2015
  14. ^ "Longtime NDP MLA Nancy Allan announces retirement". Winnipeg Free Press. May 28, 2015. Retrieved June 28, 2019.
  15. ^ a b "MLA Leanne Rowat will not seek reelection". Winnipeg Free Press. September 11, 2014.
  16. ^ "River East MLA Bonnie Mitchelson Announces Retirement". CJOB. October 17, 2014.

Opinion poll sources

  1. ^ "Two Thirds of Manitobans Want a Change of Government". Archived from the original on April 27, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  2. ^ "Voter Intentions Remain Unchanged in the Final Weekend Before the Manitoba Provincial Election". April 18, 2016.
  3. ^ Progressive Conservatives to take more than half the vote Forum Research Inc.
  4. ^ "Manitoba's choice". mainstreetresearch.ca. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  5. ^ "Manitoba Progressive Conservatives Hold Sizeable Lead". Archived from the original on April 18, 2016. Retrieved December 11, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  6. ^ "680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader".
  7. ^ "Liberals Slide, PCS Lead as Election Nears End".
  8. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 18, 2016. Retrieved April 9, 2016.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  9. ^ "Poll suggests Tories hold solid support as Manitoba election approaches". CBC. March 31, 2016.
  10. ^ "Tenuous Tie Continues in Winnipeg".
  11. ^ "Forum research Inc" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on April 22, 2016. Retrieved March 29, 2016.
  12. ^ "Dead Heat in Winnipeg".
  13. ^ "Mainstreet - Manitoba February 22 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Politics Of Canada". Scribd.
  14. ^ "Mainstreet - Manitoba February 16 | PDF | Opinion Poll | Political Parties". Scribd.
  15. ^ "PCS Dominating in Manitoba".
  16. ^ "PCS Lead, Liberals Second in Manitoba".
  17. ^ "680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader". December 30, 2015. Archived from the original on March 29, 2016.
  18. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on January 23, 2016. Retrieved December 28, 2015.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  19. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 1, 2015. Retrieved September 30, 2015.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  20. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 24, 2015. Retrieved August 4, 2015.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  21. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved April 7, 2015.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  22. ^ "Nov 2014: Most Manitobans say Selinger should resign: Poll". Winnipeg Free Press. November 4, 2014.
  23. ^ Owen, Bruce (October 9, 2014). "Oct 2014: Liberals only gainers in latest poll numbers". Winnipeg Free Press.
  24. ^ Kusch, Larry (April 7, 2014). "Apr 2014: Tories keep top spot in survey". Winnipeg Free Press.
  25. ^ "680 CJOB - Winnipeg's News & Information Leader".
  26. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on December 27, 2013. Retrieved December 27, 2013.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  27. ^ "New opinion poll suggests Manitoba's NDP government still low in popular support | Metro". metronews.ca. Archived from the original on June 10, 2015. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
  28. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on February 1, 2014. Retrieved January 30, 2014.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  29. ^ a b "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 19, 2014. Retrieved April 25, 2013.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  30. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 3, 2016. Retrieved October 27, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  31. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 12, 2016. Retrieved August 10, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  32. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on March 3, 2016. Retrieved September 13, 2012.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)

Further reading

External links