stringtranslate.com

2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary was held on Tuesday February 9. As per tradition, it was the first primary and second nominating contest overall to take place in the cycle. Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in the primary by a margin of more than 22% in the popular vote. Sanders claimed 15 delegates to Clinton's 9.[1]

It occurred on the same day as the Republican primary.

Debates and forums

December 2015 debate in Goffstown

On December 19, 2015, the Democratic Party held their third debate at St. Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire. Hosted by "World News Tonight" anchor David Muir and Chief Global Affairs Correspondent Martha Raddatz, it aired on ABC News.[2] Before the debate, WMUR-TV's co-sponsorship had been revoked by the DNC due to a labor dispute. Participants were Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley.

The topics covered during the debate included Sanders' campaign's breach of Clinton's campaign data, strategy for defeating ISIS, gun control, the issue of whether to depose President Assad of Syria, if Wall Street favored each candidate, stability in the Middle East enforced by dictators and whether regime change was necessary, and the role of the First Spouse.[3]

February 2016 forum in Derry

A fifth forum, a Town Hall event, was held on February 3, 2016, in Derry, New Hampshire. It aired on CNN.[4]

Lesser known candidates forum at Goffstown

One of the highlights of the campaign is when the non-recognized candidates gather together to introduce themselves to the public at this event, which first was held in 1972.[5]

Due to the notorious glitter-bombing incident of the previous cycle, Vermin Supreme was pointedly dis-invited,[6] but showed up anyway, and made the national news. Eighteen people showed up: Jon Adams, Eric Elbot, Rocky De La Fuente, Mark Greenstein, Henry Hewes, William McGaughey, Edward O'Donnell, Graham Schwass, Sam Sloan, Edward Sonnino, Michael Steinberg, and several others.

February 2016 debate in Durham

Unlike in previous years, initially, only a single authorized debate was scheduled to be held in New Hampshire. Initially planned as an unsanctioned debate, a debate on February 4 in Durham, New Hampshire was however later confirmed by the DNC. Hosted by Chuck Todd and Rachel Maddow, it was broadcast by NBC News. While Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley all confirmed their participation, O'Malley eventually came to suspend his campaign prior to the debate.

Commentators of the debate cited the elevated discourse between the candidates. There was discussion on the death penalty (federal versus state), money in politics, and assessing Iran, North Korea and Russia as threats to national security. Clinton demanded that Sanders explain his "artful smears" of Clinton receiving campaign donations. Sanders responded by critiquing the inherently "quid-pro-quo" nature of Wall Street campaign donations. The exchange between the two candidates was called by Eric Levitz one of the best 10-minute exchanges in the history of American political debates.[7]

Candidates

Bernie Sanders in Littleton, New Hampshire, on August 24, 2015
Bernie Sanders Campaign Field Office In Nashua, New Hampshire.
Hillary Clinton at a rally following the 2016 Democratic primary.

This is a list of the candidates[8] on the ballot in the New Hampshire primary.

The following notable candidates had participated in all authorized debates:

The following candidates have not been invited to any major debates or listed in national polls, but were notable enough to have Wikipedia articles written about them:

In addition to appearing on the New Hampshire primary ballot, the following candidates were on the primary ballot in one or more other state(s):

The following were not listed on the primary ballot in any state(s) other than New Hampshire:[18]

Opinion polling

Polls in 2015
Polls in 2014
Polls in 2013


Results

Municipal results of the New Hampshire Democratic primaries, 2016.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton
  Not reported[a]

Results by county

Sanders won every county.[63]

Analysis

Sanders scored a landslide 22-point routing in the New Hampshire primary, thanks to what The New York Times described as a "harness [of] working-class fury"[64] against the so-called "establishment" candidates like Hillary Clinton, in a state known for its rebellious electorate. Sanders' win was propelled by younger voters, whom he won 74–25, men whom he won 67–32, self-identified Independents whom he won 73–25, and white voters whom he won 61-37 and who comprised 91% of the Democratic electorate in New Hampshire. According to exit polls, a 53-45 majority of voters thought Clinton was not honest or trustworthy, while 89% said Sanders was honest. 61% of voters said they were dissatisfied or angry about the federal government. Sanders swept all income levels and educational attainment levels in New Hampshire, except those who made more than $200k per year.

Sanders swept all of the major cities, including Nashua, Dover, Concord, and Manchester. Sanders won along the seacoast 59–41, in the Manchester/Nashua area 54–44, in Concord/Ct. Valley 64–35, in the south 59–39, and in the north 65–33.[65] Clinton only won three towns: Bedford, Millsfield, and Windham.[66]

Sanders' landslide victory was a clear regression for Clinton from 2008, when she had narrowly beaten Barack Obama in the 2008 New Hampshire primary thanks to support from populous southern New Hampshire. Both Sanders' percentage of the vote and margin of victory are the largest in a Democratic New Hampshire primary since John F. Kennedy in 1960.

See also

References

Notes
  1. ^ The Associated Press did not report results from municipalities where there were five or fewer registered voters.[59]
  2. ^ The write-ins include 3,248 votes for these 11 Republican presidential candidates: Trump (1795), Kasich (438), Jeb Bush (263), Christie (216), Marco Rubio (203), Ted Cruz (162), Fiorina (99), Carson (52), Paul (12), Gilmore (6), Huckabee (2).[60]
Citations
  1. ^ "2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: New Hampshire Democrat Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. December 5, 2019. Archived from the original on February 18, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
  2. ^ "Third Democratic Presidential Debate: 9 Moments That Mattered". ABC News. December 19, 2015. Retrieved December 20, 2015.
  3. ^ Martin, Jonathan; Chozick, Amy (December 19, 2015). "In Democratic Debate, Hillary Clinton's Focus Is on G.O.P." The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved December 20, 2015.
  4. ^ Metzler, Rebekah (January 31, 2016). "Dem candidates to attend New Hampshire town hall". CNN. Retrieved January 31, 2016.
  5. ^ Weigel, David (January 25, 2016). "The existential pleasures of the Lesser-Known Candidates presidential debate". The Washington Post.
  6. ^ "'Lesser-known candidates' to gather for N.H. forum". The Boston Globe.
  7. ^ "Clinton and Sanders Spar Over Campaign Donations". NYMag.
  8. ^ William M. Gardner : Secretary of State. "Home - NHSOS". Sos.nh.gov. Retrieved December 23, 2015.
  9. ^ Whittaker, Richard. "Presidential Candidates File in Texas: Clinton and Judd only Dems to file for president in Texas so far - News". The Austin Chronicle. Retrieved December 5, 2015.
  10. ^ "Candidate Inquiry". Voterportal.sos.la.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015.
  11. ^ Sutherland, Paige (November 20, 2015). "Fired Up About the "Pony Economy"? Vermin Supreme Just Might Be Your Candidate". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved November 23, 2015.
  12. ^ Snyder, Brian (November 20, 2015). "U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Vermin Supreme files his declaration of candidacy to appear on the New Hampshire primary election ballot in Concord". Yahoo! News. Reuters. Retrieved November 23, 2015.
  13. ^ "The Latest: Attorney files to run for Supreme Court post". Times Union. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
  14. ^ William M. Gardner. "Home - NHSOS". Sos.nh.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015.
  15. ^ Federal Election Commission, "Details for Candidate ID : P60017100" (Valentine, James). Retrieved November 8, 2015.
  16. ^ The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Democrat urging Constitution rewrite files to run for president in Arkansas", Arkansas Online.
  17. ^ The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Fourth Democrat files to run for president in Arkansas", KATV.
  18. ^ Office of New Hampshire Secretary of State
  19. ^ "American Research Group (2/6-2/7 2016)". The Huffington Post.
  20. ^ "UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 6 of 8" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell Centre for Public Opinion. February 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
  21. ^ Dyck, Joshua J. (January 2016). "UMass Lowell/7News Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 1" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  22. ^ Agiesta, Jennifer (January 31, 2016). "Before Iowa, New Hampshire backs Trump, Sanders". CNN. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
  23. ^ "NEW HAMPSHIRE – TRUMP COMFORTABLY AHEAD; BUSH SURGES TO SECOND, KASICH IN THIRD; SANDERS CRUISING AHEAD OF CLINTON" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. January 27, 2016. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  24. ^ "New Hampshire". American Research Group, Inc. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  25. ^ Myers, R. Kelly (January 25, 2016). "Bernie Sanders has Re-Opened a Lead over Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Race in New Hampshire" (PDF). Franklin Pierce University; Boston Herald. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
  26. ^ "Fox News Poll: Sanders up by 22 points in New Hampshire".
  27. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerNew Hampshire".
  28. ^ "Final January 2016 NH DEM Study" (PDF). Suffolk.edu. Retrieved January 23, 2016.
  29. ^ a b "New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary". Americanresearchgroup.com. Retrieved January 19, 2016.
  30. ^ "New Hampshire Polling Results" (PDF). Retrieved January 22, 2016.
  31. ^ "CNN and WMUR Poll". CNN. Retrieved January 19, 2016.
  32. ^ "New Hampshire: Sanders takes control" (PDF). monmouth.edu. Retrieved January 12, 2016.
  33. ^ "Fox News Poll: New Hampshire presidential primary races". foxnews.com. Retrieved January 8, 2016.
  34. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Hampshire" (PDF).
  35. ^ "Boston Herald poll article".
  36. ^ "CNN and WMUR Poll" (PDF). CNN. Retrieved December 9, 2015.
  37. ^ "PPP NH poll" (PDF).
  38. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Iowa" (PDF).
  39. ^ "Fox News Poll: Trump, Sanders lead respective primaries in New Hampshire". Fox News.
  40. ^ "Current New Hampshire Polling". Gravis.
  41. ^ "New Hampshire: Clinton Pulls Ahead of Sanders" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. November 3, 2015. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
  42. ^ "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Hampshire" (PDF).
  43. ^ "No Groundswell for Biden in New Hampshire: Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm Poll".
  44. ^ "Franklin Pierce-Herald poll: Sanders keeps lead over Clinton". bostonherald.com/.
  45. ^ "Full results of Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll". BostonGlobe.com.
  46. ^ "Latest NH Republican and Democratic Poll Results". Gravis.
  47. ^ "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll October 2015 New Hampshire Questionnaire". Retrieved October 4, 2015.
  48. ^ "Hillary Clinton trails Sanders in New Hampshire, even without Joe Biden in the race". New Hampshire Results. CNN. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
  49. ^ "WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary" (PDF). WBUR. Retrieved January 22, 2016.
  50. ^ "New Hampshire: Sanders Leads Clinton by 7" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. September 15, 2015. Retrieved January 22, 2015.
  51. ^ Will Jordan. "Sanders up big in New Hampshire and Iowa; Carson trails Trump". YouGov.
  52. ^ "NBC News/Marist Poll – September 2015 – New Hampshire Questionnaire". Retrieved September 6, 2015.
  53. ^ "Trump Way Ahead in New Hampshire; Sanders Leads Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved August 25, 2015.
  54. ^ "Bernie Sanders surges ahead of Hillary Clinton in N.H., 44-37". Retrieved August 11, 2015.
  55. ^ "Clinton in Jeopardy of Losing New Hampshire to Sanders". New Hampshire Results. PR Newswire. Retrieved August 5, 2015.
  56. ^ "Sanders keeping pace with Clinton in New Hampshire" (PDF). New Hampshire Results. WMUR. Retrieved August 4, 2015.
  57. ^ "New Hampshire Results" (PDF). NBC News/Marist. Retrieved July 26, 2015.
  58. ^ "WMUR Dem poll" (PDF). wmur.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
  59. ^ Mihalik, Lily; Anthony, Pesce; Ben, Welsh (February 10, 2016). "Live results from the 2016 New Hampshire primary". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
  60. ^ "2016 Presidential Primary - Democratic President: Summary Democratic Write-ins". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Archived from the original on February 14, 2020. Retrieved February 14, 2020.
  61. ^ "2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: New Hampshire Democrat Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. December 5, 2019. Archived from the original on February 18, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
  62. ^ "2016 Presidential Primary - Democratic President: Summary Democratic 16PP". New Hampshire Secretary of State. February 2016. Archived from the original on February 14, 2020. Retrieved February 14, 2020.
  63. ^ "New Hampshire Election Results 2016: President Live Map by County, Real-Time Voting Updates - POLITICO".
  64. ^ Healy, Patrick; Martin, Jonathan (February 9, 2016). "Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders Win in New Hampshire Primary". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved October 18, 2016.
  65. ^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved October 18, 2016.
  66. ^ "New Hampshire Primary Election Results 2016". The New York Times. September 29, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 21, 2020.