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2020 United States Senate election in Minnesota

The 2020 United States Senate election in Minnesota was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Minnesota, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the U.S. Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Some Republican pundits and strategists believed Minnesota to be a potential pickup opportunity due to its increasingly favorable demographics and unexpectedly close result in the 2016 presidential election, along with potential backlash from the 2020 George Floyd protests, originating after the murder of George Floyd in Minneapolis. However, every poll showed incumbent Democratic Senator Tina Smith in the lead by varying degrees.

Smith was reelected to a full term in office by a margin of 5.2 points, making this the closest Senate election in Minnesota since 2008. The primary took place on August 11.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Tina Smith

U.S. Senators

  • Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota; former 2020 presidential candidate[9]

Organizations

Labor unions

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Smith—>90%
  •   Smith—80–90%
  •   Smith—70–80%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Jason Lewis

U.S. President

Political Organizations

Results

Results by county:
Map legend
  •   Lewis—80–90%
  •   Lewis—70–80%
  •   Lewis—60–70%
  •   Lewis—50–60%

Other candidates

Grassroots - Legalize Cannabis

Nominee

Results

Legal Marijuana Now

Nominee

Primary results

County Results for Kevin O'Connor:
Map legend
  •   8%
  •   7%
  •   6%
  •   5%
  •   4%
  •   3%

Independent write-in candidate

Declared

General election

Debate

Two general election debates were held. The first, on October 2, 2020, was hosted by Minnesota Public Radio and was attended by Smith and Lewis.[50] The second debate was hosted by Twin Cities PBS on October 23, 2020, and attended only by Lewis.[51]

Predictions

Endorsements

Tina Smith (DFL)

U.S. Senators

  • Kirsten Gillibrand, U.S. senator from New York; former 2020 presidential candidate[61]
  • Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator from Minnesota; former 2020 presidential candidate[9]
  • Elizabeth Warren, U.S. senator from Massachusetts; former 2020 presidential candidate[62]

Organizations

Labor unions

Newspapers

Jason Lewis (R)

U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S. representatives

Other Individuals

Organizations

Newspapers

Polling

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican

Results

By county

By congressional district

Smith and Lewis each won 4 congressional districts.

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b "Someone else" with 2%
  2. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 2%
  3. ^ "Not sure/Someone else/Undecided" with 3%
  4. ^ a b c "Some other candidate" with 3%
  5. ^ O'Connor (LMN) and Steinberg (GLC) with 1%; "Someone else" with 0%
  6. ^ Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  7. ^ O'Connor (LMN) with 3%; Steinberg (GLC) with 1%; would not vote with 0%
  8. ^ "Some other candidate" with 4%
  9. ^ O'Connor (LMN) and "Refused" with 2%; Steinberg (GLC) and "Other" with 1%
  10. ^ "Another Third Party/Write-in" with 2%
  11. ^ "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  12. ^ Includes "Refused"
  13. ^ a b "Someone else" with 3%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Lewis' campaign
  2. ^ Giffords endorsed Tina Smith prior to the sampling period

References

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  4. ^ "Minnesota". The Washington Times. Archived from the original on May 14, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
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  9. ^ a b "The Win Big Project". The Win Big Project.
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  16. ^ a b "Giffords Endorses Slate of Senators Running to Bring a Gun Safety Majority to the US Senate". Giffords. May 8, 2020.
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  87. ^ Research Co.
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  103. ^ Siena College/NYT Upshot
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  106. ^ a b c Harper Polling (R)
  107. ^ a b Emerson College
  108. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  109. ^ PPP
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External links

Official campaign websites